Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DIA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.328363 0.360191 0.394839 0.435548 0.482314 0.534650 0.598060
2025-02-16 0.285423 0.325648 0.371947 0.429747 0.500781 0.586316 0.698807
2025-02-23 0.249769 0.293179 0.345225 0.413240 0.501336 0.613867 0.772405
2025-03-02 0.221622 0.265984 0.320917 0.395408 0.496187 0.631568 0.834255
2025-03-09 0.206588 0.253213 0.312760 0.396476 0.514762 0.682078 0.949232
2025-03-16 0.197890 0.247457 0.312668 0.407641 0.547798 0.756851 1.114329
2025-03-23 0.188396 0.239626 0.308759 0.412592 0.571872 0.821251 1.276259
2025-03-30 0.179084 0.231163 0.303016 0.413924 0.590111 0.878611 1.438669
2025-04-06 0.169805 0.221975 0.295345 0.411333 0.601420 0.925640 1.592748
2025-04-13 0.157957 0.208329 0.280137 0.395610 0.589166 0.929380 1.660906
2025-04-20 0.151972 0.202712 0.276306 0.397287 0.606141 0.988230 1.860754
2025-04-27 0.146149 0.196933 0.271751 0.397242 0.619881 1.042883 2.067145
2025-05-04 0.139623 0.189926 0.265125 0.393678 0.627796 1.089328 2.274760
2025-05-11 0.134786 0.185166 0.261646 0.395056 0.644957 1.157961 2.566611
2025-05-18 0.127702 0.176592 0.251575 0.384167 0.637354 1.171920 2.711547
2025-05-25 0.120550 0.167573 0.240284 0.370268 0.622357 1.166982 2.799474
2025-06-01 0.117235 0.164359 0.238209 0.372628 0.640159 1.241114 3.172254
2025-06-08 0.115851 0.164079 0.240881 0.383757 0.677315 1.369824 3.807243
2025-06-15 0.113424 0.161992 0.240370 0.388865 0.702323 1.473887 4.423369
2025-06-22 0.110529 0.158999 0.238123 0.390435 0.719717 1.561877 5.040607
2025-06-29 0.107188 0.155121 0.234124 0.388255 0.728314 1.627408 5.609523
2025-07-06 0.102050 0.148085 0.224286 0.373854 0.706914 1.601081 5.694110
2025-07-13 0.099775 0.145707 0.222520 0.375480 0.723740 1.694146 6.518161